Iran war could push global food insecurity to record levels, leaving 363 million people hungry

Mar 19, 2026 | Health

A new analysis from the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) delivers a stark warning: the conflict in Iran threatens to plunge an additional 45 million people into acute hunger within a mere three months. This rapid escalation could trigger unprecedented levels of global food insecurity, setting new records for worldwide food deprivation.

A recent analysis delivers a stark warning: an estimated 363 million people could face food insecurity if the ongoing conflict extends to mid-year and crude oil prices remain stubbornly above $100 per barrel. This alarming projection signifies a surge of 45 million individuals pushed into hunger, significantly higher than the current global figure of 318 million.

Here are several options for paraphrasing the text, maintaining its core meaning with a unique, engaging, and journalistic tone:

**Option 1 (Direct and Clear):**
“The previous peak in global food insecurity was recorded in 2022, when the onset of the war in Ukraine pushed the number of people lacking sufficient food to 349 million.”

**Option 2 (Emphasizing the Cause):**
“The outbreak of the war in Ukraine in 2022 previously marked an all-time high for global food insecurity, leaving 349 million people without adequate sustenance.”

**Option 3 (More Impactful):**
“Prior to this, the benchmark for acute hunger was set in 2022, when the conflict in Ukraine began, resulting in 349 million people worldwide experiencing critical food shortages.”

**Option 4 (Concise and Active):**
“A previous record of 349 million people facing food insecurity was established in 2022, directly linked to the start of the war in Ukraine.”

**Option 5 (Slightly different phrasing):**
“In 2022, the commencement of the war in Ukraine triggered a previous record in global hunger, with 349 million individuals grappling with insufficient food supplies.”

Carl Skau, Deputy Executive Director and Chief Operating Officer for the World Food Programme (WFP), issued a stark warning that should the current conflict persist, it will trigger global repercussions. In a statement, Skau underscored that families already struggling to afford their next meal would bear the brunt of the crisis. He further cautioned that a failure to adequately fund humanitarian responses could precipitate a widespread catastrophe, threatening millions who are already on the brink.

Following joint U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, the vital Strait of Hormuz has been plunged into a state of near paralysis since March 2. This severe disruption has effectively choked off the global trade of essential commodities, including crude oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and critical fertilizers. The resulting surge in prices is now exerting immense pressure on import-dependent regions, with countries in Asia and sub-Saharan Africa anticipated to bear the brunt of escalating food and fuel costs.

Global fertilizer supply disruptions are triggering significant concern, according to a separate statement from the United Nations. The timing of this issue is particularly critical as countries across sub-Saharan Africa approach their vital planting season, Skau noted. Exacerbating these worries, approximately one-quarter of the world’s fertilizer shipments transit through the strategically important Strait of Hormuz, highlighting a key vulnerability in global agricultural inputs.

The World Food Programme (WFP) has quantified the conflict’s contribution to global hunger by identifying individuals unable to purchase a daily diet of at least 2,100 calories. The organization then simulated the consequences of a prolonged oil price surge, projected to last until June, on worldwide food costs. This analysis considered each nation’s reliance on imported food and energy, and subsequently, the projected increase in the population segments that would be priced out of a calorically adequate diet.

Here are a few options for paraphrasing the sentence, maintaining a journalistic tone and emphasizing the key information:

**Option 1 (Focus on the scale of the problem):**

> Asia experienced the most significant surge in food insecurity, with an estimated 9.1 million individuals now facing hunger, marking a concerning 24% escalation in the region.

**Option 2 (Highlighting the percentage increase):**

> A stark 24% increase in food insecurity has been observed in Asia, the region with the largest rise, impacting an estimated 9.1 million people.

**Option 3 (More direct and concise):**

> The most dramatic increase in food insecurity was recorded in Asia, where a 24% jump means an estimated 9.1 million more people are now food insecure.

**Option 4 (Emphasizing the impact on individuals):**

> Millions more in Asia are now grappling with food insecurity, a surge of 24% affecting an estimated 9.1 million individuals, making it the region with the largest increase.

Each option rephrases the original sentence to be unique while conveying the core facts: Asia had the largest increase in food insecurity, with 9.1 million more people affected, representing a 24% rise. The journalistic tone is maintained through clear, factual language.

The ongoing conflict is projected to trigger widespread food insecurity across several regions, impacting an estimated 17.7 million individuals in eastern and southern Africa. Latin America and the Caribbean are expected to see 2.2 million people affected, while the Middle East and North Africa will face a crisis for 5.2 million. Central Africa is also anticipating a significant challenge, with 10.4 million people likely to experience food insecurity.

Here are a few paraphrased options, maintaining a journalistic tone and unique wording:

**Option 1 (Focus on Impact):**
> This projected increase would push the global number of individuals facing food insecurity to a staggering 363 million, affecting an additional 45 million people worldwide.

**Option 2 (More Concise):**
> The new figures indicate a rise of 45 million globally susceptible to food insecurity, elevating the total count to 363 million.

**Option 3 (Emphasizing the Scale):**
> Consequently, an estimated 45 million more individuals across the planet would now qualify as food insecure, expanding the overall figure to 363 million.

**Option 4 (Action-Oriented Leaning):**
> With an additional 45 million people worldwide now categorized as food insecure, the global total is set to reach 363 million, highlighting a significant escalation of the crisis.

“The world faces the grim possibility of unprecedented global hunger levels, a prospect Skau described as deeply alarming,” the report stated.

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